This is a "Google Translate" translation from Swedish. Not good but usable.
Updates: 20230318, 20230320, 20230323, 20230401, 20230414
I didn't have the ambition to continue updating this, it was more or less a situation snapshot. But, I'll make an exception...
Courts time line:
1) Indictment (the court saying you probably did it)
2) Arraignment (the defendant [Trump] must come to the court, fingerprints taken, "mug shot" taken, listen to the indictment before the court. Bail decided if applicable)
3) Prosecution (court proceedings start, the court will hear witnesses, choose a jury etc.)
4) Verdict, "Guilty" or "Not Guilty"
5) Sentencing (penalty in $ or/and years)
DA, District Attorney
AG, Attorney General
Criminal cases may end with a prison sentence, civil cases do not.
HUSH MONEY, STORMY DANIELS, BOOK KEEPING
RAPE ASSAULT, DEFAMATION
JENNA ELLIS, LYING
EVAN CORCORAN, LYING? (Mar-a-Lago)
IVANKA and 'Hey!THEY DID IT'
AG LETITIA JAMES CIVIL LAW SUIT, TAX FRAUD
DA FANI WILLIS FULTON COUNTY, GA, ELECTION TAMPERING
HUSH MONEY, STORMY DANIELS
Alvin Bragg, the prosecutor in the case, seems to be a more methodical person than average. He is the only person to win a lawsuit against the Trump Organization. He has decided to take on the of Stormy Daniels case. (Trump.org had an ongoing operation of "catch and kill" where Trump's misdeeds were tracked down, "catch", and the ladies in question were paid an average of $100,000, "kill", in exchange for their silence).
I have a certain attraction for Stormy D. When the feminists tried to defend her against Trump, she announced that women's rights were great but that she, for her part, lived by sucking cocks and she thought that the feminists should not mix their goals with her way of life.
She definitely has a star in my book!
Not least due to the fact that I have had a workshop, wall to wall with a little lady who made her living in the same field. Occasionally, she was offered cake by her customers and being a small, rather thin person, she couldn't dispose of all the cakes that arrived without warning!
I like that she got cakes, it meant she did a good job psychologically too. Also, when the cakes arrived, me and a friend plus the guy I rented the workshop from were invited to coffee and cake.
It was always the same, she swept all the dildos off the table and picked out some cracked but functional china, served big pieces of cake and then we sat and talked. It was educational for me. The little lady in question was herself married to a weight lifting hulk who matched her need for a muscular man, he didn't care about what she did to contribute to the household so there was no conflict in this.
I have to say I sympathize with the mindset, but I have some medical objections, so although I liked the lady, I can't actually recommend her lifestyle.
I'm digressing ...
The proposed indictment of Donald Trump in the Stormy Daniels affair has nothing to do with what the two did together It is not punishable as long as both are in on it. What is punishable, however, is posting costs in the accounting as something other than what they are. The $130,000 payment to Daniels was funneled through his minion Michael Cohen in such a way that
1) Cohen paid Daniels out of his own money
2) Cohen got the sum back from Trump
3) Cohen received a "bounty" for the job of $300,000
Now we come to the crux of the charge: these transactions were booked as expenses for legal services and expenses for [something else equally incorrect]. Update 20230318: seemingly as a retainer for eventual further services. This is debunked in the Cohen trial! |
Posting expenses under the false pretense of other types of expenses ends up being charged with accounting crimes and in this case money laundering [Cohen, with Trump as an accomplice].
Update 20230320: There's an interesting detail, explained by Karen Friedman Agnifilo on Legal AF. The bad book keeping in itself is a "misdemeanor". If massaging the books is done with the intent to cover up another crime or fraud, the case will be about a "felony". The crime/fraud hasn't to be proven, it's the intent that counts. The punishment in that case spans from almost zero (probation) up to four years in prison. What on that scale Alvin Bragg is going to ask for, we'll just have to wait and see. |
Cohen cooperated and got a "plea deal" so he got out fairly quickly. Right now, Trump has been given the opportunity to appear before the "grand jury" of the criminal kind (there is another type called "civil" instead of "criminal"). This grand jury has the power to indict.
One can easily assume that Trump will not be willing to speak out. Partly because his lawyers will prevent him and partly because every single comma he will utter during such an interrogation can be used against him in later negotiations. He does not have access to a lawyer during that type of interrogation. All his lawyers know in advance how it will end, Trump just can't keep quiet when he should.
The above is a clear sign that he will be indicted. That kind of opportunity to speak is a clear sign that an indictment is pending. Update 20230318: And here we go: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/110044039949982181 |
RAPE ASSAULT, DEFAMATION
E. Jean Carroll.
Yummy. Trump's lawyers have sought the court's permission not to:
1) use testimony from previous trials on two other "sexual assault" charges. They may not be brought up during Carroll's trial.
2) the tapes where Trump tells a friend that as a "star" he could "grab their pussies" without any problems and otherwise request sexual favors or basically anything because he was one.
Both are equally serious.
In the question of whether they should be allowed to be taken up during the Carroll trial, the judge in the case has weighed between two different paragraphs,
403 which says that you cannot prosecute people for things that happened X number of years ago
and
415 which says that if it is so, that old prosecutions can point to a "way of being" that can have a bearing on a corresponding prosecution in the present and point to a systematic [bad] behavior, this can be allowed to influence a contemporary sentence.
He has decided on the latter (415).
In addition to all the egregious behavior of the past, along with his explicit statements that he can do as he pleases with women, the trial will be decided by a jury drawn from Manhattan and they are to a high degree well-educated Democrats, and after hearing the tapes and reading the old testimonies, this will disfavor him. Especially when they've heard his own testimony, which will cement their view that Trump is a pig of a man without an ounce of morals. He doesn't have a chance to make it, this time.
Also, due to a one time window in time where the statute of limitations was waived, allowing old rape cases to be brought up before a court, Caroll's rape AND the defamations against her that Trump is been guilty of on his Truth Social site, will be processed before the same court. Trump can never shut up when he should.
Update 20230323: Rumors has it the jury will be anonymous since Trump has harassed so many people before during his "career" |
Update 20230401: This is now the case. The jury will be anonymous. Trump's case is now in the same category of cases as Al Capone's and other mafia bosses. This will definitely bias the court against him.
JENNA ELLIS, LYING
"legal adviser" to Trump's election organization and personal adviser to Trump
A slightly special story. She has issued a so-called "stipulation" where she admitted that on 10 different occasions (it is far from all, they are only selected examples by the judge) she has, against her better knowledge, lied about "election fraud" and "stolen election".
It is a paper she has signed and the court published. What's a bit special is that it's an association called something like "in defense of democracy" [can't find the name, yet.] is the one that filed a letter of complaint with the Colorado Bar Association to stop rogue lawyers.
As soon as she got out on the street again, she tweeted:
"The politically-motivated Left failed miserably in their attempt to destroy me.
They're now trying to falsely discredit me by saying I admitted I lied.
That is FALSE. I would NEVER lie. Lying requires INTENTIONALLY making a false statement.
I never did that, nor did I stipulate to or admit that.
As has become sadly typical, the opposition-controlled media is intentionally twisting the truth,
conflating the full RPC standard with the actual stipulation. The standard reads, “dishonesty, fraud, deceit, OR misrepresentation.”
The Colorado bar counsel and my counsel concluded that it was best to resolve the bar
complaints by agreeing to a public censure."
She was a bit lucky here. She received a reprimand but was allowed to continue as a lawyer. But:
if this association discovers that she starts lying more as soon as she gets out on the street, there is a high risk that they will file *another* "complaint" showing that she continues to lie, and her license as a lawyer will go West. You just have to wait and enjoy.
"The censorship" she will remember for the rest of her life. It is determined in the Colorado Supreme Court. She will have to stand on the counter while the judge reads her self-admitted misconduct, point by point. Next, it will be added to a public database where one can look up lawyers and their faults and failings. This can be used by anyone looking for a lawyer. Publicly that is.
Trump surrounding himself with one lawyer after another (Jenna Ellis is not the first, rather the third or fourth) who gets indicted or ends up on boards that decides whether (s)he will be allowed to continue as lawyers, will not help him in the trials to come. This will be noticed. [Rudy Giuiliani, Sidney Powell are prime examples but they are far from all. Trump can't get good legal advice any longer, "real" lawyers won't work with him anymore]
EVAN CORCORAN
vs. Department of Justice (aka Jack Smith :)
Corcoran is a lawyer who promised the National Archive and the Department of Justice that all documents that were "classified" had been returned and that none remained on Trump's premises. National Archives and Dept. of Justice did not believe him and issued a "warrant" where the US classified documents were found in a boxes containing a mix of magazines and memorabilia that Trump brought with him in violation of current regulations. He lied to the Department of Justice. That is a felony. It has also been ascertained that he lied repeatedly to them, about other things
Corcoran has asserted the attorney-client privilege as a defense. No one should know what defense lawyers discuss with their client. There is an exception to that rule and that is when the court suspects that the communication was made to prevent justice from discovering "fraudulent" conduct. The Department of Justice [DoJ] appointed a so-called "special investigator" [Jack Smith] to investigate Trump's overstepping in this context. That appointment has the advantage that even if the political climate were to change in the White House and Congress, NO ONE will stop him from getting his job done.
Jack Smith has requested from the DoJ that attorney-client immunity be waived to compel Corcoran to testify under oath about how some classified documents were not voluntarily returned. Smith has done this five times and each time it has been granted. Smith knows his business.
Update 20230323: Yes he does! In a federal appeals court, giving Trump & Co 8 hours (until 24:00 and Department of Justice 6 hours (until 06:00) to comment on questions posed by the appeal court, consisting of three judges, the appeal was decided to Trump's disadvantage. This procedure usually takes week or months!! Trump should now be even more worried, Corcoran's notes and even one or more audio tracks will be in Jack smith's hands, shortly since the client-attorney privilege now is waived. No wriggling out of this. |
Testifying under oath and lying is extremely expensive in the US, so when it comes down to it, you can expect to find out what went on at Mar A Lago. Corcoran will do everything he can to shift the blame onto Trump.
Update 20230320: Corcoran has been the lawyer used by Stormy Daniels against Trump. Their communications, even if Corcoran saw Daniels just as a perspective client are secret. Forever! Corcoran can't use anything said in connection with Daniels when he works as a lawyer for Trump. To Agnifilo this clearly disqualifies him from working for Trump for a number of reasons. |
The lying to the Department of Justice now put's him in a situation where he will be the defendant in a criminal investigation of himself. It's just an unbelievable mess!
Update 20230323 09:15 Manhattan time: "Spotted at the federal courthouse: Trump lawyer Evan Corcoran. He’s here today for a closed-door hearing on the challenge to special counsel Jack Smith’s subpoena to former VP Mike Pence in the inquiry into efforts by Trump and his allies to overturn the 2020 election.
IVANKA and "Hey! THEY DID IT"
Ivanka has been removed from the Trump Organization since 2017. she says ant at least as it appears in the media. She has requested from the relevant court that she should not be charged or even subject to questioning because she left Trump.org behind. That presentation is not convincing, there is a lot of info, internally in Trump.org and externally in the media that shows that this is not true. In addition, the judiciary suspects that this is a maneuver by Trump to save his own favorite, Ivanka, who "if she wasn't my kid and so young, I could date her".
Through Ivanka's lawsuits in connection with the judiciary, Trump & Co. seek to delay possible trials about who is responsible for Trump.org's financial decisions and actions until he becomes unavailable as president. The problem is that Ivanka and others in the Trump family have had 2+ years to come up with pleadings showing they are innocent of everything. That time expires on 21/3 this year.
Now they request a 6-month postponement because they want testimony from Deutsche Bank and various other actors who contributed to Trump being able to borrow enormous sums under false pretenses about the value of his properties, etc. The court shrugs its shoulders and points out that they have had 2+ years to do it but haven't done it. Sorry guys.
In addition, it is a judge in New York who wrote a letter to all the judges that Trump used (in different states) to get his way. He has argued in a court that depending on another pending court ruling in another court, he must get 6 months postponement and then he did the same thing in another court.
He has thus outplayed the courts in various processes against each other in order to get time to weasel out of the problems.
This letter to the various courts outlines Trump's strategy, and warns them not to give Trump more time to wriggle out. The recommendation is that the various courts should determine their trial dates and not grant further postponements. In my opinion, an excellent idea.
AG LETITIA JAMES CIVIL LAW SUIT
Letitia James in New York is working on a lawsuit that will almost certainly result in Tump.org (if they're lucky) paying at least $250,000 in fines and the entire Trump family being banned from their main area of business, New York. It will mean the death of Trump.org. They're not there yet, but James works closely with Alvin Bragg and one thing's for sure, they know what they're doing.
This is a matter of a "civil" grand jury and apparently they are not toothless, either.
This is massive. The paragraph here is short, but the ramifications for the Trump organization... It will kill them, economically! And here the sons and the daughter of Trump are, with a high degree of probability. going to "get it". "It" being real problems.
When that happens, in a few months, the finals will be announced!! Until an indicment is issued, everything the prosecution is doing is under a seal, nobody knows what it will consist of until it's published. That's why there is not much more to tell about this.
DA FANI WILLIS FULTON COUNTY, GA
election fraud.
The following process is in its final stage:
In Fulton County, Georgia, under District Attorney Fani Willis, the famous conversation between Trump and Raffensperger, the election officer of this county in Georgia, where Trump requests that he (Raffensberger) find the 11000+ votes that makes Trump defeat Biden in Georgia. This conversation is both a threat and an attempt to influence the election in Georgia through his position. When it comes up, he (Trump) will be convicted of inciting election fraud and a threat to democracy in the United States. It is recorded.
There is no doubt about this. The problem is that Willis underestimated the time it would take to administer it all. The indctment was going to be "immediate". This wasn't the case. Georgia has a rather complicated model for dealing with this kind of problem. However, one thing is absolutely certain. Fani Willis will not be stopped, that much can be seen already. In short, she is stubborn.
Trump will have huge problems going forward when this happens in reality.
Update 20230320: Karen Friedman Agnifilo on Legal AF had some thoughts on why this case seems to be halted. Trump must appear in NY, get his mug shot done, meet the judge etc. To that end he must leave Mar-a- Lago. |
If Trump refuses to go:
# and if Trump's posting on Truth Social results in his minions appearing there, armed and prepared to stop justice in it's tracks there will be a problem. The police will do anything to avoid a clash, perhaps resulting in injuries and death.
# the security personnel round Trump must have clear orders to let him go, otherwise they will stop anybody from laying hands on him. Coordination is needed here.
# Either the NY DA must ask the DA in Florida OR the NY governor must ask the governor in Florida to orderfor the Floridian police to escort him. That's more administrative processing that may take time.
To sum it up, NY police cannot just go and get him before Tuesday just to avoid all this.
Agnifilo suggested that it could be that Fani Willis is waiting to see how all this is playing out. This may enable her to assess what to expect in her own process and what has to be done to avoid eventual problems Alvin Bragg will encounter. This is just an assumption, but I think a valid one. |
Note: Karen Friedman Agnifilo has been working in the Manhattan DA's office for nearly three decades, from when she left law school until she became number two among 500 lawyers, working in that position for ten years and also being acting DA when needed. She's extremely well suited to have opinions about the legal proceedings.
Disclaimer:
All written above is just what I've gathered as a total layman. I recommend Legal AF on YouTube to get the expert's views. I'm writing this for myself. Possibly someone will get interested enough to do his/her own research.
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